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AI Excels at Massive SWE Tasks, Timelines Shorten

AI Excels at Massive SWE Tasks, Timelines Shorten

Author substantially shortens AI timelines after observing AIs excel on massive easy-to-verify software engineering (ES) tasks requiring little ideation. Updated to ~30% chance of full AI R&D automation by EOY 2028. Expects 50% reliability on difficult ESNI tasks with years-to-decades horizons by EOY 2026.

AI Alignment ForumCommunityApr 6#ai-timelines#swe-tasks#automation