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Refined Counterfactual Prisoner's Dilemma

This post refines a thought experiment to critique expected utility maximization, emphasizing updatelessness. Omega flips a coin, reveals the result, asks for $1, and punishes $1M if it predicts you wouldn't pay in the counterfactual world. It argues ignoring counterfactuals leads to value destruction, challenging standard decision theories.

AI Alignment ForumCommunityMar 11#decision-theory#updatelessness#counterfactuals