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Meta Avocado AI delayed to May

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๐Ÿฆ™Read original on Reddit r/LocalLLaMA

๐Ÿ’กMeta's billion-dollar AI model delayedโ€”strategy shift for open-source devs?

โšก 30-Second TL;DR

What Changed

Avocado model delayed to May 2026

Why It Matters

Signals potential setbacks in Meta's AI race against rivals like OpenAI. Could delay open-weight model releases for local deployment. Impacts developer timelines relying on Llama ecosystem.

What To Do Next

Check Meta's Llama roadmap on their blog for confirmed Avocado updates.

Who should care:Enterprise & Security Teams

๐Ÿง  Deep Insight

Web-grounded analysis with 12 cited sources.

๐Ÿ”‘ Enhanced Key Takeaways

  • โ€ขAvocado's performance in internal tests places it between Google's Gemini 2.5 and Gemini 3, outperforming Meta's prior models but trailing leaders from OpenAI and Anthropic in reasoning, coding, and writing[1][2][3][7].
  • โ€ขMeta leadership has discussed temporarily licensing Google's Gemini AI to power products during Avocado's development, though no decision has been finalized[1][3][7][8].
  • โ€ขScale AI CEO Alexandr Wang now leads Meta's frontier AI division 'TBD Lab' after a $14.3 billion investment, aiming for superintelligent systems[7].
  • โ€ขMeta is developing successor models including 'Watermelon' and an image/video generator 'Mango', signaling a multi-model roadmap[1][7].

๐Ÿ”ฎ Future ImplicationsAI analysis grounded in cited sources

Meta may license external AI like Gemini by Q2 2026
Internal discussions on licensing Google's technology indicate contingency plans if Avocado delays persist amid competitive pressures[1][3][7].
Meta's 2026 capex could exceed $135B without AI breakthroughs
Projected spending of $115-135B is tied to AI ambitions, but repeated delays risk investor scrutiny on returns[2][3].
Shift from open-source AI strategy at Meta
Reports suggest moving away from Llama open models after Llama 4 setbacks, prioritizing proprietary frontier development[7].

โณ Timeline

2024
Llama 3 released as Meta's most recent frontier model
2025
Llama 4 delayed after failing internal benchmarks with tepid reception
2025
Behemoth model delayed due to engineering challenges in scaling
2025-12
Meta reorganizes AI projects under single division
2026-01
Zuckerberg outlines Avocado as showing rapid trajectory on earnings call
2026-03
Avocado delayed from March to May after internal tests reveal shortfalls
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Original source: Reddit r/LocalLLaMA โ†—