Amid global economic stagnation with G7 growth under 1.2%, rising defaults, and AI's job displacement despite limited productivity gains, China should proactively set international agendas. Warns of prolonged recession, youth unemployment surge to 25% NEET rate, and AI stock bubbles risking crisis. Urges shifting from defense to offense in 'cognitive restart' era.
Key Points
- 1.G7 GDP growth forecast at 1.2% (2025) dropping to 1.0% (2026), with many below 1%.
- 2.Global youth unemployment double adults'; NEET rate hits 25%, worsened by AI entry-level job cuts.
- 3.AI hype fails scale effects but inflates stocks; US top 10 AI stocks double market share, risking bubble.
- 4.Emerging markets default rate 40% since 2000; low-income economies poorer than pre-COVID.
- 5.China urged to be 'question setter' amid order collapse, per WEF 2026 risks report.
Impact Analysis
Highlights AI's overhyped productivity vs real job threats, informing AI founders on macro risks like recessions curbing adoption and bubbles bursting valuations. Signals geopolitical shifts where AI strategy ties to national agenda-setting.
Technical Details
AI technologies like new energy/6G/AI stuck in concept-trial phase without scale; Western econ research doubts conversion efficiency. AI handles basic tasks, displacing 41% workforce per exec survey.
