$50M/Year for 10% ASI Ban Chance

💡$50M for 10% shot at banning ASI—critical for AI safety researchers
⚡ 30-Second TL;DR
What Changed
ControlAI targets extinction risks by securing global ASI development ban
Why It Matters
This initiative could reshape global AI policy, potentially halting ASI pursuits and redirecting research to safer paths. AI practitioners may face development constraints if successful, emphasizing need for alignment strategies.
What To Do Next
Review ControlAI's theory of change chart on AI Alignment Forum for policy advocacy insights.
Key Points
- •ControlAI targets extinction risks by securing global ASI development ban
- •$50M/year funding yields ~10% success chance in next few years
- •Theory of change: Motivate exec branches via social currents, media, public polls
- •$500M/year scales probability to ~30%
- •Full chart links outcome to ongoing workstreams
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Original source: AI Alignment Forum ↗
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