Mirror Tops GPT-5 on Endo Board Exam
📄#clinical-reasoning#medical-ai#benchmarkFreshcollected in 4h

Mirror Tops GPT-5 on Endo Board Exam

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📄Read original on ArXiv AI

💡Curated med AI beats GPT-5 on board exam w/ traceable evidence (87.5% acc)

⚡ 30-Second TL;DR

What changed

87.5% accuracy (105/120) vs GPT-5.2's 74.6% and humans' 62.3%

Why it matters

Demonstrates curated evidence layers enable superior subspecialty reasoning over general LLMs with web tools, boosting auditability for clinical use. Highlights potential for specialized AI in medicine beyond broad models.

What to do next

Benchmark January Mirror against your LLMs on medical reasoning datasets.

Who should care:Researchers & Academics

🧠 Deep Insight

Web-grounded analysis with 7 cited sources.

🔑 Key Takeaways

  • January Mirror achieved 87.5% accuracy on ESAP 2025 endocrinology board exam, representing a 25.2 percentage point improvement over human endocrinologists (62.3%) and 12.9 points over GPT-5.2 (74.6%)[1]
  • Mirror's architecture uses an ensemble-style clinical reasoning stack with specialized components organized around clinical question archetypes (diagnosis, testing, treatment, prognosis, mechanistic reasoning) and an arbitration layer for final output selection[1]
  • The system demonstrated particular strength on difficult questions where human accuracy fell below 50%, achieving 76.7% accuracy on the 30 hardest questions, suggesting it captures clinical reasoning patterns that challenge subspecialty-trained physicians[1]
📊 Competitor Analysis▸ Show
SystemAccuracyArchitectureEvidence AccessCitation Accuracy
January Mirror87.5%Ensemble reasoning with arbitration layerClosed-evidence corpus100% verified
GPT-5.274.6%General-purpose LLMReal-time web accessNot specified
GPT-5~70-72% (inferred)General-purpose LLMReal-time web accessNot specified
Gemini-3-Pro~70-72% (inferred)General-purpose LLMReal-time web accessNot specified
Human endocrinologists (reference)62.3%Clinical expertiseDomain knowledgeN/A

🛠️ Technical Deep Dive

Reasoning Architecture: Ensemble-style clinical reasoning stack with multiple specialized reasoning components generating candidate answers and supporting evidence links, followed by arbitration layer using evidence quality and internal agreement signals • Question Archetype Organization: Components structured around common clinical reasoning tasks—diagnosis, testing, treatment, prognosis, and mechanistic reasoning—reflecting how clinicians approach distinct problem types • Evidence Integration: System integrates curated endocrinology and cardiometabolic evidence corpus with structured reasoning architecture to generate evidence-linked outputs; operates under closed-evidence constraint without external retrieval • Output Design: Outputs include traceable citations from guidelines with 100% citation accuracy verification; 74.2% of outputs cited guideline sources • Performance Metrics: Top-2 accuracy of 92.5% vs GPT-5.2's 85.25%, indicating strong confidence in alternative diagnoses • Regulatory Alignment: Design aligns with FDA's January 2026 'Glass Box' CDS guidance requiring transparent, clinician-reviewable logic and verifiable source grounding rather than hallucinated citations[3]

🔮 Future ImplicationsAI analysis grounded in cited sources

Mirror's performance demonstrates that domain-specific evidence curation and structured clinical reasoning can achieve subspecialty-level performance exceeding general-purpose frontier LLMs, suggesting a strategic shift toward specialized clinical AI systems rather than relying on general-purpose models with web access. The January 2026 FDA guidance shift toward 'Glass Box' transparency requirements creates regulatory tailwinds for evidence-grounded systems like Mirror while restricting black-box approaches. This validates a design philosophy where AI augments rather than replaces clinician judgment through transparent reasoning. The closed-evidence advantage over web-enabled LLMs indicates that curated, high-quality evidence corpora may outperform real-time information access in specialized domains. Healthcare organizations may increasingly adopt domain-specific clinical reasoning systems for subspecialty applications, particularly in high-stakes diagnostic and treatment planning contexts where explainability and citation accuracy are regulatory and clinical requirements. The framework's success on difficult questions suggests potential for AI-assisted continuing medical education and quality improvement in areas where even subspecialty physicians struggle.

⏳ Timeline

2022-01
FDA issued Clinical Decision Support Software guidance establishing framework for AI medical device classification
2021-01
Study site tested AI clinical decision support system in radiology with small group of radiologists (n=4) reporting positive experiences
2025-01
ESAP 2025 endocrinology board-style examination administered (120-question assessment used for Mirror evaluation)
2026-01
FDA issued updated Clinical Decision Support Software guidance superseding 2022 version, enabling single-recommendation outputs when presented as transparent 'Glass Box' systems with verifiable source grounding
2026-01
OpenAI, Anthropic, and Amazon launched enterprise healthcare products following FDA guidance shift

📎 Sources (7)

Factual claims are grounded in the sources below. Forward-looking analysis is AI-generated interpretation.

  1. arxiv.org
  2. jmir.org
  3. bloodgpt.com
  4. ceo-review.com
  5. pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
  6. techxplore.com
  7. sciencedaily.com

January Mirror, an evidence-grounded clinical reasoning system, scored 87.5% on a 120-question 2025 endocrinology board-style exam, outperforming human experts (62.3%) and frontier LLMs like GPT-5.2 (74.6%). It excelled on the hardest questions (76.7% accuracy) under closed-evidence constraints without web access. Outputs featured traceable citations from guidelines with 100% accuracy.

Key Points

  • 1.87.5% accuracy (105/120) vs GPT-5.2's 74.6% and humans' 62.3%
  • 2.76.7% on 30 hardest questions (human <50%)
  • 3.74.2% outputs cited guideline sources; 100% citation accuracy verified
  • 4.Top-2 accuracy 92.5% vs GPT-5.2's 85.25%
  • 5.Closed-evidence setup outperformed LLMs with web access

Impact Analysis

Demonstrates curated evidence layers enable superior subspecialty reasoning over general LLMs with web tools, boosting auditability for clinical use. Highlights potential for specialized AI in medicine beyond broad models.

Technical Details

Mirror integrates curated endocrinology/cardiometabolic corpus with structured reasoning for evidence-linked outputs. Operated without external retrieval, unlike comparators. Achieved high traceability with guideline citations.

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Original source: ArXiv AI