Gartner: Under 20 Humanoids in Production by 2028
🗾#physical-ai#humanoid-forecast#adoption-hypeRecentcollected in 10h

Gartner: Under 20 Humanoids in Production by 2028

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🗾Read original on ITmedia AI+ (日本)

💡Gartner's reality check: humanoid boom delayed—rethink robotics investments now.

⚡ 30-Second TL;DR

What changed

<20 companies for 2028 production deployment

Why it matters

Dampens expectations for rapid humanoid scaling, urging focus on realistic timelines and infrastructure readiness in robotics.

What to do next

Download Gartner's humanoid robot forecast to adjust your physical AI roadmap.

Who should care:Enterprise & Security Teams

🧠 Deep Insight

Web-grounded analysis with 5 cited sources.

🔑 Key Takeaways

  • Gartner forecasts fewer than 100 companies will move humanoid robots beyond proof-of-concept stage, with fewer than 20 deploying them in live production environments by 2028[1][2]
  • Humanoid robots are expected to remain restricted to highly controlled settings rather than dynamic warehouse environments, indicating limited real-world applicability[1]
  • The technology gap between humanoid robot promise and actual performance remains wide, with concerns about versatility and cost-effectiveness limiting supply chain adoption[1]

🛠️ Technical Deep Dive

Humanoid robots designed for supply chain applications feature: AI-enabled perception systems, machine learning capabilities, integrated cameras and sensors, articulated arms for manipulation tasks, and bipedal locomotion for navigating warehouse environments[1]. However, Gartner notes these technical capabilities do not translate to operational suitability in real-world logistics settings, suggesting the gap lies not in hardware specifications but in practical deployment challenges such as reliability, integration complexity, and cost-effectiveness relative to task-specific automation solutions[1].

🔮 Future ImplicationsAI analysis grounded in cited sources

The limited adoption forecast for humanoid robots by 2028 suggests that supply chain operators will continue prioritizing task-specific automation and traditional industrial robots over general-purpose humanoid solutions. This indicates that while physical AI generates significant hype, practical supply chain innovation will likely focus on proven technologies such as warehouse gamification (predicted to reach 40% adoption in large warehouses by 2028[3]), IoT, AI-driven monitoring systems, and specialized robotics. The humanoid robot market may remain a niche experiment for controlled pilot environments rather than transforming warehouse operations at scale[1].

⏳ Timeline

2025-05
Gartner publishes forecast warning humanoid robots unlikely to see widespread supply chain use before 2028

📎 Sources (5)

Factual claims are grounded in the sources below. Forward-looking analysis is AI-generated interpretation.

  1. warehouseautomation.ca
  2. eetimes.com
  3. mmh.com
  4. insidelogistics.ca
  5. supplychaindigital.com

Gartner predicts fewer than 20 companies will deploy humanoid robots in full production by 2028. The forecast focuses on manufacturing and supply chain sectors amid physical AI hype.

Key Points

  • 1.<20 companies for 2028 production deployment
  • 2.Targets manufacturing and supply chain
  • 3.Cautions against overhyped physical AI adoption

Impact Analysis

Dampens expectations for rapid humanoid scaling, urging focus on realistic timelines and infrastructure readiness in robotics.

📰

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Original source: ITmedia AI+ (日本)