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๐Ÿ“Š#ai-disruption#winners-losers#fixed-incomeFreshcollected in 14m

AI Disruption Differs in Private Markets

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๐Ÿ“ŠRead original on Bloomberg Technology

๐Ÿ’กAI winners emerge slower in private marketsโ€”crucial for funding strategy

โšก 30-Second TL;DR

What changed

AI disruption slower in private markets

Why it matters

Prolonged uncertainty in private markets could delay AI startup funding rounds and exits. Investors may hesitate longer on AI bets. AI founders should prepare for extended evaluation periods.

What to do next

Benchmark your AI startup against private market disruption timelines with Morgan Stanley research.

Who should care:Founders & Product Leaders

๐Ÿง  Deep Insight

Web-grounded analysis with 8 cited sources.

๐Ÿ”‘ Key Takeaways

  • โ€ขAI disruption in private markets progresses slower than in public markets due to opacity, lack of real-time pricing, and longer timelines to identify winners and losers, as noted by Morgan Stanley's Vishwanath Tirupattur[1][2][7]
  • โ€ขPrivate equity firms are increasingly using AI for underwriting, operational improvements, and value creation, with only 6% currently seeing high impact but 70% expecting it in 3-5 years[1]
  • โ€ขDispersion among portfolio companies is accelerating, favoring those with proprietary data, mission-critical workflows, and deep AI integration, while others face substitution risks from AI-native solutions[1][2]

๐Ÿ”ฎ Future ImplicationsAI analysis grounded in cited sources

AI is expected to drive uneven distribution cycles in private equity through 2028, dependent on software/AI valuations; it acts as a force multiplier for top firms in dealmaking and operations but amplifies risks in opaque private credit and software-exposed portfolios, potentially prolonging exit backlogs if AI hype falters[1][2][7]

โณ Timeline

2025-12
US VC investments reach $340B in VC-backed companies, second-strongest year on record, driven by AI mega-deals[6]
2025
5 AI companies capture one-third of US tech VC funding and outvalue all dot-com era IPOs; $4.4T locked in US private unicorns[6]
2026-02
Anthropic releases Claude Opus 4.6 and industry-specific AI tools, impacting software stocks and alternative asset managers with private software exposure[3]
2026-02-17
AGF publishes analysis on AI innovations' impact on alternative asset managers amid Anthropic advancements[3]
2026-02-20
Morgan Stanley's Vishwanath Tirupattur discusses slower AI disruption in private markets on Bloomberg Real Yield[ARTICLE]

๐Ÿ“Ž Sources (8)

Factual claims are grounded in the sources below. Forward-looking analysis is AI-generated interpretation.

  1. mckinsey.com
  2. allianz.com
  3. perspectives.agf.com
  4. morganstanley.com
  5. etftrends.com
  6. svb.com
  7. spglobal.com
  8. pgim.com

Morgan Stanley's Vishwanath Tirupattur states that identifying AI winners and losers will take longer in private markets amid disruption. This contrasts with faster dynamics elsewhere. He discussed on Bloomberg Real Yield.

Key Points

  • 1.AI disruption slower in private markets
  • 2.Longer to determine winners and losers
  • 3.Vishwanath Tirupattur, Morgan Stanley strategist
  • 4.Discussion on Bloomberg Real Yield

Impact Analysis

Prolonged uncertainty in private markets could delay AI startup funding rounds and exits. Investors may hesitate longer on AI bets. AI founders should prepare for extended evaluation periods.

๐Ÿ“ฐ

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Original source: Bloomberg Technology โ†—